Two polls out tonight. One clear message.
One by OpiniumResearch, fieldwork 24-26 July changes with respect to 5th July: CON: 30% (+7) LAB: 28% (+3) LDEM: 16% (+1) BREX: 15% (-7) GRN: 5% (-3) And one by DeltaPoll for the Mail on Sunday: CON:...
View ArticleCan Boris & the Tories be trusted? Yes, I know, stop laughing!
It appears that Tory leader Boris Johnson is now moving towards a reheated version of Theresa May’s terrible Withdrawal Agreement – the worst deal in history, a treaty that was accurately described by...
View ArticleFour ways Boris could fail, and in most of them Brexit fails with him
Professor Matthew Goodwin is the author of National Populism: The Revolt Against Liberal Democracy, which I have read and found good. As an academic he maintains an attitude of detachment but it is...
View ArticleWhy Labour might want No Deal… and why such thoughts are dangerous
No Deal would suit Labour for the same reason as it would suit the Conservatives: with Brexit done each of the two major parties’ main rival would lose its main selling point. If No Deal turned out...
View ArticleThe Brexit Party will deliver Brexit
Some sort of clean break Brexit is looking far more likely than it was when Theresa May was Prime Minister. What happened? Today Nigel Farage made a speech to the Brexit Party (the event is ongoing and...
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The game is afoot…
Finally, Parliament gets treated with the contempt it richly deserves. And now more than ever, we will need the Brexit Party to keep a political knife to Boris Johnson’s throat, or the most likely last...
View ArticleA purge long overdue
Johnson threatens Brexit rebels with party expulsion Sayeth that bastion of anti-Brexit sentiment Reuters. But what I find more interesting is this: House of Commons Leader Jacob Rees-Mogg said any...
View ArticleFailing, flailing, and doing surprisingly well in the polls
I read everywhere that Boris Johnson’s government is flailing and failing. They have been soundly defeated in the Commons. It looks like Boris will be forced to ask the EU for another extension, and...
View ArticleNo pact needed
Brian Micklethwait argues that no (overt) pact is needed between the Brexit Party and the Conservatives in order to get a Parliament of leavers. The Brexit Party can make the pact unilaterally: all...
View ArticleAnd fortune, on his damned quarrel smiling, Show’d like a rebel’s whore
The Independent‘s John Rentoul is scarcely likely to be happy at what the latest poll by Opinium says, but dutifully tweeted it anyway: Opinium poll for Observer, Cons back to 15-pt lead: Con 38% +2...
View ArticlePondering the political equation…
As a result of these calculations, a great deal of pressure via the media is being put on Nigel Farage and Richard Tice to pull back from standing Brexit Party candidates across the country. ‘Go and...
View ArticleWorkington Agonistes
“Workington” sounds like a name made up for a novel. But it is a real place, a small town in Cumbria that used to have a coal mine and now has the questionable fortune to have become for the 2019...
View ArticleThree and a half shower thoughts
1) I am beginning to think that the best strategy for the Leave side would be for the Brexit Party and the Conservatives to make no official pact, and to continue to denounce each other vigorously, but...
View ArticleNigel is being pragmatic…
BXP will not be running in 317 seats where the ‘Conservative’ Party won in 2017. The pragmatic electoral arithmetic is simple to understand, but will the Tories actually seek to deliver a meaningful...
View ArticleWhy Ben Habib will support Boris’ WA
“First, the Prime Minister personally and Conservative Party via its election manifesto have both undertaken to limit the Transition Period to December 2020 (now to be enacted into law) and not to...
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